Consenus: MBS tapering unlikely in 2013

Consenus: MBS tapering unlikely in 2013 Market remains too fragile for tapering, analysts say. December 16, 2013. Brena Swanson.. Hedge fund expert: MBS tapering is now months away.

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of QE3 in 2012 and "taper tantrum" in 2013. Therefore, the fit line is not as solid with only a 33% R-squared for the 5X1 vs. 15yr data. However, the pattern is still recognizable, and 5X1s are demonstrably cheap given the current level of the 15yr I-spread. That leads to the inevitable and important question: why are ARMs so

Home repossessions set to jump in 2012 Meanwhile, bank repossessions climbed significantly in Kentucky and New York. The number of U.S. homes entering the foreclosure process hit a seven-year low between July and September, but bank repossessions were up 7 percent from the previous quarter, with Kentucky seeing the biggest jump, up nearly 70 percent, new data show.JPMorgan overcharged military families, improperly foreclosed Last week, NBC News reported that one of America’s largest banks – JPMorgan Chase – has overcharged about 4,000 servicemembers on their home loans and has improperly foreclosed on the homes of 14 military families.

As we head for the fateful FOMC announcement on September 18, US data have continued to moderate. Accordingly, the consensus seems to be converging on a $10-15 billion initial reduction in monthly purchases (mostly focused on the Treasury side and less so on MBS) with any ‘tightening’ talk tempered by exaggerated forward-guidance discussions and the potential to drop thresholds to appear more.

The consensus forecast among economists. And it’s possible – though unlikely – that we’re seeing a replay of what happened in 2013, after then-fed president ben Bernanke sparked a “taper tantrum”.

A return of 2013’s famous taper tantrum is unlikely. still a consensus among investors that “conditions to the extent they change are going to be slow,” he said. Even Gross thinks a bear market.

Is Jackson Hole’s ‘Agenda-Less’ Agenda To Taper Treasuries Before MBS? by Tyler Durden. Wed, 08/21/2013 – 12:27. 0.. General consensus on this point could reflect on the probability of disproportionate tapering of Treasury securities rather than MBS when the time comes.

Federal Reserve to start Tapering Tapering finally announced s The much expected tapering programme from the US Federal Reserve has been announced and from January 2014 onwards there would be a cut back in the bond purchase operations of the Fed from $ 85 bn a month to $ 75 bn. The assumption here is that the economy is

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A Tapering Trend any time soon is most unlikely, but Market "Tantrums" emanating from Speculation about Tapers Advent provide Significant Opportunities for the Prepared. Even if The Fed does begin a bit of Tapering in December, or March, or whenever, (unlikely) it is not likely to last (unless other Central Banks simultaneously increase.

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General consensus on this point could reflect on the probability of disproportionate tapering of Treasury securities rather than MBS when the time comes. We think this is likely.